Simple risk model predicts incidence of atrial fibrillation in a racially and geographically diverse population: the CHARGE-AF consortium

Field Value
Model ID13-073-02
Model NameCohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology (CHARGE)-AF - Augmented Model
Pubmed ID23537808
First AuthorAlonso
JournalJournal of the American Heart Association
Year2013
TitleSimple risk model predicts incidence of atrial fibrillation in a racially and geographically diverse population: the CHARGE-AF consortium
Primary Index ConditionPopulation Sample
Secondary Index ConditionN/A
OutcomeArrhythmia
Model Sample Size18556
Cohort Sample Size18556
Number of Events1186
Follow-Up DurationLong (>6 months)
AUROC0.767
Calibration Reported1
CovariatesAge (5 years); Race (white); Height (10 cm); Weight (15 kg); Systolic BP (20 mmHg); Diastolic BP (10 mmHg); Smoking (current); Antihypertensive medication use (yes); Diabetes (yes); Heart failure (yes); Myocardial infarction (yes); LVH by electrocardiogram (yes); PR interval (>120 vs 120 to 199); PR interval (>199 vs 120 to 199); Intercept
Mesh TermsTo be updated
Number of Validations3

External Validations

Yes
3
0.707
1st Author Year Sample Size AUC Calibration Relatedness
Alonso 2013 4469 0.665 Yes Related
Shulman 2016 49599 0.707 Yes Related
Alonso 2013 3203 0.716 Yes Related