Prediction of coronary heart disease in middle-aged adults with diabetes

Field Value
Model ID03-019-01
Model NameAtherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) risk score - Basic Model, Women, Diabetic
Pubmed ID14514579
First AuthorFolsom
JournalDiabetes Care
Year2003
TitlePrediction of coronary heart disease in middle-aged adults with diabetes
Primary Index ConditionPopulation Sample
Secondary Index ConditionDiabetes Mellitus (DM)
OutcomeMACE
Model Sample Size761
Cohort Sample Size861
Number of Events95
Follow-Up DurationLong (>6 months)
AUROC0.711
Calibration Reported1
CovariatesXBETAmed; Age (years); Age^2 (years^2); Race (white vs. black); Total cholesterol 200-279 vs. <200 mg/dl; Total cholesterol >=280 vs. <200 mg/dl; HDL cholesterol <45 vs. >=50 mg/dl; HDL cholesterol 45-49 vs. >=50 mg/dl; Systolic blood pressure (mmHg); Hypertension medication; Current smoking; Intercept
Mesh TermsTo be updated
Number of Validations3

External Validations

Yes
3
0.69
1st Author Year Sample Size AUC Calibration Relatedness
Leeuw 2014 453 0.55 Yes Related
Leeuw 2014 1174 0.69 Yes Related
Leeuw 2014 584 0.76 Yes Distantly Related