Contemporary mortality risk prediction for percutaneous coronary intervention: results from 588,398 procedures in the National Cardiovascular Data Registry

Field Value
Model ID10-030-01
Model NameNational Cardiovascular Data Registry (NCDR) Risk Model
Pubmed ID20430263
First AuthorPeterson
JournalJournal of the American College of Cardiology
Year2010
TitleContemporary mortality risk prediction for percutaneous coronary intervention: results from 588,398 procedures in the National Cardiovascular Data Registry
Primary Index ConditionCoronary Artery Disease (CAD)
Secondary Index ConditionRevascularization
OutcomeMortality
Model Sample Size181775
Cohort Sample Size181775
Number of Events2254
Follow-Up DurationShort (<3 months)
AUROC0.911
Calibration Reported1
CovariatesAge <60; Age >=60, <70; Age >=70, <80; Age >=80; Cardiogenic shock; Prior CHF; Peripheral vascular disease; Chronic lung disease; GFR <30; GFR 30-60; GFR 60-90; GFR >90; NYHA functional class IV; PCI status (STEMI): elective; PCI status (STEMI): urgent; PCI status (STEMI): emergent; PCI status (STEMI): salvage; PCI status (no STEMI): elective; PCI status (no STEMI): urgent; PCI status (no STEMI): emergent; PCI status (no STEMI): salvage
Mesh TermsTo be updated
Number of Validations3

External Validations

Yes
3
0.905
1st Author Year Sample Size AUC Calibration Relatedness
Timoteo 2016 2148 0.87 Yes Distantly Related
Peterson 2010 285440 0.905 Yes Closely Related
Parikh 2012 207926 0.921 Yes Closely Related