Risk score for predicting in-hospital/30-day mortality for patients undergoing valve and valve/coronary artery bypass graft surgery

Field Value
Model ID13-053-02
Model NameNYC Risk Score - Valve/CABG
Pubmed ID23357609
First AuthorHannan
JournalAnnals of Thoracic Surgery
Year2013
TitleRisk score for predicting in-hospital/30-day mortality for patients undergoing valve and valve/coronary artery bypass graft surgery
Primary Index ConditionCardiac Surgery
Secondary Index ConditionN/A
OutcomeMortality
Model Sample Size8373
Cohort Sample Size8373
Number of Events552
Follow-Up DurationShort (<3 months)
AUROC0.757
Calibration Reported1
CovariatesIntercept; Type of valve/CABG surgery: aortic valve replacement/CABG; Type of valve/CABG surgery: mitral valve replacement/CABG; Type of valve/CABG surgery: mitral valve repair/CABG; Type of valve/CABG surgery: mitral valve repair or replacement/CABG; Age between 75 and 84 years; Age 85 or more; Sex and BSA: male and BSA >=2.5; Sex and BSA: female and BSA <1.5; Sex and BSA: female and BSA >=1.5 to <1.75; Sex and BSA: female and BSA >=2.25; Sex and BSA: all others; Hemodynamically unstable; Ejection fraction <30%; Previous MI within 1 day; Previous MI 1 to 14 days; Endocarditis; Peripheral vascular disease; Renal failure: creatinine 2.1-2.5 mg/dL; Renal failure: creatinine >2.5 mg/dL; Renal failure: requiring dialysis; Left main disease; Previous open heart operations; Previous PCI before this admission
Mesh TermsTo be updated
Number of Validations3

External Validations

Yes
3
0.71
1st Author Year Sample Size AUC Calibration Relatedness
Hannan 2013 12345 NR No Closely Related
Wang 2016 12412 0.693 Yes Related
Jin 2013 2406 0.727 Yes Related