Development of a point-based prediction model for the incidence of total stroke: Japan public health center study - Tufts PACE CPM Registry

Development of a point-based prediction model for the incidence of total stroke: Japan public health center study

Field	Value
Model ID	13-061-01
Model Name	Yatsuya 2013
Pubmed ID	23449266
First Author	Yatsuya
Journal	Stroke
Year	2013
Title	Development of a point-based prediction model for the incidence of total stroke: Japan public health center study
Primary Index Condition	Population Sample
Secondary Index Condition	N/A
Outcome	Stroke
Model Sample Size	15672
Cohort Sample Size	15672
Number of Events	790
Follow-Up Duration	Long (>6 months)
AUROC	0.73
Calibration Reported	1
Covariates	Age group: 40-44 y; Age group: 45-49 y; Age group: 50-54 y; Age group: 55-59 y; Age group: 60-64 y; Age group: 65-69 y; Sex: men; Sex: women; Current smoking in men; Current smoking in women; Body mass index <25 kg/m^2; Body mass index 25 to <30 kg/m^2; Body mass index >=30 kg/m^2; Blood pressure <120/80, no antihypertensive medication; Blood pressure 120-129/80-84, no antihypertensive medication; Blood pressure 130-139/85-89, no antihypertensive medication; Blood pressure 140-159/90-99, no antihypertensive medication; Blood pressure 160-179/100-109, no antihypertensive medication; Blood pressure >180/110, no antihypertensive medication; Blood pressure <120/80, antihypertensive medication; Blood pressure 120-129/80-84, antihypertensive medication; Blood pressure 130-139/85-89, antihypertensive medication; Blood pressure 140-159/90-99, antihypertensive medication; Blood pressure 160-179/100-109, antihypertensive medication; Blood pressure >180/110, antihypertensive medication; Diabetes mellitus: yes; Diabetes mellitus: no
Mesh Terms	To be updated
Number of Validations	1

External Validations

Externally Validated:	Yes
Number of External Validations:	1
Median Validation AUROC:	0.69

1st Author	Year	Sample Size	AUC	Calibration	Relatedness
Yatsuya	2013	3454	0.69	Yes	Closely Related