Forecasting mortality: dynamic assessment of risk in ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarction

Field Value
Model ID06-005-03
Model NameChang 2006 - Day 2
Pubmed ID16407373
First AuthorChang
JournalEuropean Heart Journal
Year2006
TitleForecasting mortality: dynamic assessment of risk in ST-segment elevation acute myocardial infarction
Primary Index ConditionCoronary Artery Disease (CAD)
Secondary Index ConditionAcute Coronary Syndrome (ACS)
OutcomeMortality
Model Sample Size6066
Cohort Sample Size6066
Number of EventsNR
Follow-Up DurationShort (<3 months)
AUROC0.86
Calibration Reported1
CovariatesAge 65-74 years; Age 75+ years; Killip class II; Killip class III-IV; Heart rate 63-85 bpm; Heart rate >85 bpm; Systolic BP <120 mmHg; Systolic BP 120-132 mmHg; Total ST-segment deviation >=12 mm; ST-segment resolution: partial; ST-segment resolution: no; ST-segment resolution: ECG confoundres/missing; No PCI; Stroke; Heart failure; Electrical disorder
Mesh TermsTo be updated
Number of Validations4

External Validations

Yes
4
0.795
1st Author Year Sample Size AUC Calibration Relatedness
Chang 2006 814 NR Yes Related
Chang 2006 814 NR Yes Related
Chang 2006 1622 0.79 Yes Related
Chang 2006 1622 0.8 Yes Related