Generic, simple risk stratification model for heart valve surgery

Field Value
Model ID05-013-01
Model NameAmbler Score
Pubmed ID15998680
First AuthorAmbler
JournalCirculation
Year2005
TitleGeneric, simple risk stratification model for heart valve surgery
Primary Index ConditionCardiac Surgery
Secondary Index ConditionValve
OutcomeMortality
Model Sample Size16679
Cohort Sample Size16679
Number of Events1067
Follow-Up DurationShort (<3 months)
AUROCNR
Calibration Reported1
CovariatesAge 50-59 y; Age 60-69 y; Age 70-79 y; Age >79 y; Female gender; BMI <20 kg/m^2; Valve operation: mitral; Valve operation: aortic and mitral; Concomitant tricuspid surgery; Concomitant CABG surgery; Renal failure: creatinine >200 umol/L; Renal failure: with dialysis; Arrhythmias: atrial fibrillation/heart block; Arrhythmias: ventricular tachycardia/fibrillation; Hypertension; Diabetes; Ejection fraction 30-50%; Ejection fraction <30%; Surgical priority: urgent; Surgical priority: emergency; Prior cardiac operation: 1; Prior cardiac operation: >=2
Mesh TermsTo be updated
Number of Validations12

External Validations

Yes
12
0.68
1st Author Year Sample Size AUC Calibration Relatedness
Dewey 2008 638 NR Yes Related
Silaschi 2015 457 0.52 Yes Distantly Related
Zbronski 2016 156 0.54 Yes Distantly Related
Silva 2015 418 0.57 Yes Distantly Related
Wang 2016 12412 0.674 Yes Distantly Related
Wang 2013 3479 0.677 Yes Distantly Related
Holme 2012 762 0.68 Yes Distantly Related
Laurent 2013 314 0.7 Yes Distantly Related
Yamaoka 2016 406 0.709 Yes Related
De Bacco 2008 703 0.729 Yes Related
Ambler 2005 16160 0.77 Yes Closely Related
Tran 2010 394 0.799 No Related