Refining clinical risk stratification for predicting stroke and thromboembolism in atrial fibrillation using a novel risk factor-based approach: the euro heart survey on atrial fibrillation
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Model ID | 10-005-01 |
| Model Name | Congestive heart failure/LV dysfunction, Hypertension, Age, Diabetes mellitus, Stroke/TIA/TE, Vascular disease, Age, Sex category (CHA2DS2-VASc) |
| Pubmed ID | 19762550 |
| First Author | Lip |
| Journal | Chest |
| Year | 2010 |
| Title | Refining clinical risk stratification for predicting stroke and thromboembolism in atrial fibrillation using a novel risk factor-based approach: the euro heart survey on atrial fibrillation |
| Primary Index Condition | Arrhythmia |
| Secondary Index Condition | N/A |
| Outcome | Systemic Embolization |
| Model Sample Size | 1577 |
| Cohort Sample Size | 1577 |
| Number of Events | NR |
| Follow-Up Duration | Long (>6 months) |
| AUROC | 0.606 |
| Calibration Reported | 1 |
| Covariates | Congestive heart failure/LV dysfunction; Hypertension; Age >=75 y; Diabetes mellitus; Stroke/TIA/TE; Vascular disease (prior MI, peripheral artery disease, or aortic plaque); Age 65-74 y; Sex category (female gender) |
| Mesh Terms | To be updated |
| Number of Validations | 45 |
External Validations
| Yes | |
| 45 | |
| 0.658 |
| 1st Author | Year | Sample Size | AUC | Calibration | Relatedness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koene | 2014 | 173 | NR | No | Mismatch |
| Gorman | 2016 | 105 | 0.45 | No | Mismatch |
| Due Anderson | 2015 | 42182 | 0.52 | No | Mismatch |
| Siu | 2014 | 9727 | 0.525 | No | Distantly Related |
| Conti | 2016 | 589 | 0.57 | No | Mismatch |
| Piccini | 2013 | 14171 | 0.578 | No | Related |
| Bautista | 2015 | 426 | 0.579 | No | Related |
| Coppens | 2013 | 4670 | 0.587 | No | Related |
| Boczar | 2016 | 223 | 0.597 | No | Mismatch |
| Svendsen | 2013 | 1415 | 0.6 | No | Mismatch |
| Lau | 2014 | 607 | 0.601 | No | Distantly Related |
| Bautista | 2015 | 524 | 0.602 | No | Related |
| Saliba | 2016 | 46657 | 0.610 | No | Distantly Related |
| Garcia-Fernandez | 2017 | 1215 | 0.61 | No | Distantly Related |
| 2016 | 413 | 0.615 | No | Related | |
| Shih | 2016 | 77397 | 0.622 | No | Distantly Related |
| Bautista | 2015 | 98 | 0.623 | No | Related |
| Alvarez-Alvarez | 2014 | 4229 | 0.63 | No | Mismatch |
| Obokata | 2014 | 82 | 0.64 | No | Mismatch |
| Peguero | 2016 | 2263 | 0.64 | No | Mismatch |
| Welles | 2011 | 916 | 0.64 | No | Mismatch |
| Philippart | 2015 | 8053 | 0.655 | No | Distantly Related |
| Barra | 2013 | 294 | 0.655 | Yes | Distantly Related |
| Olesen | 2011 | 73538 | 0.661 | No | Related |
| Wallentin | 2014 | 14798 | 0.667 | No | Related |
| Lin | 2011 | 7920 | 0.669 | No | Distantly Related |
| van Staa | 2011 | 79844 | 0.67 | No | Distantly Related |
| Wu | 2017 | 1046 | 0.671 | No | Mismatch |
| van den Ham | 2015 | 60594 | 0.68 | No | Related |
| Chan | 2014 | 579 | 0.68 | No | Mismatch |
| Singer | 2013 | 25306 | 0.68 | No | Related |
| Chao | 2016 | 124271 | 0.689 | No | Related |
| Abumuaileq | 2015 | 154 | 0.69 | No | Related |
| Kinnunen | 2015 | 1314 | 0.693 | No | Mismatch |
| Chao | 2014 | 186570 | 0.698 | No | Distantly Related |
| Singer | 2013 | 10927 | 0.7 | No | Related |
| Chua | 2014 | 3183 | 0.7 | No | Mismatch |
| Kwon | 2016 | 1222 | 0.701 | No | Distantly Related |
| Saliba | 2016 | 1053871 | 0.714 | No | Mismatch |
| Potpara | 2012 | 345 | 0.72 | No | Distantly Related |
| Abumuaileq | 2015 | 911 | 0.72 | No | Distantly Related |
| Hornero | 2012 | 2910 | 0.725 | Yes | Mismatch |
| Hudzik | 2016 | 472 | 0.75 | No | Mismatch |
| Wang | 2015 | 141 | 0.808 | No | Distantly Related |
| Potpara | 2014 | 240 | 0.932 | No | Mismatch |